Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.004596 0.005092 0.005606 0.006177 0.006794 0.007439 0.008163
2025-01-26 0.003748 0.004439 0.005193 0.006072 0.007066 0.008150 0.009419
2025-02-02 0.003265 0.004061 0.004962 0.006049 0.007318 0.008743 0.010458
2025-02-09 0.002896 0.003758 0.004765 0.006016 0.007515 0.009241 0.011364
2025-02-16 0.002684 0.003613 0.004728 0.006147 0.007884 0.009925 0.012482
2025-02-23 0.002417 0.003373 0.004551 0.006084 0.008003 0.010298 0.013223
2025-03-02 0.002221 0.003205 0.004445 0.006094 0.008197 0.010754 0.014062
2025-03-09 0.002136 0.003171 0.004503 0.006306 0.008640 0.011519 0.015288
2025-03-16 0.002006 0.003065 0.004457 0.006375 0.008898 0.012050 0.016229
2025-03-23 0.001909 0.002998 0.004456 0.006497 0.009220 0.012666 0.017281
2025-03-30 0.001828 0.002945 0.004468 0.006634 0.009561 0.013306 0.018374
2025-04-06 0.001658 0.002753 0.004279 0.006486 0.009516 0.013442 0.018815
2025-04-13 0.001529 0.002617 0.004164 0.006441 0.009614 0.013777 0.019537
2025-04-20 0.001392 0.002458 0.004009 0.006334 0.009622 0.013992 0.020103
2025-04-27 0.001291 0.002349 0.003919 0.006310 0.009740 0.014349 0.020860
2025-05-04 0.001197 0.002242 0.003825 0.006276 0.009838 0.014679 0.021581
2025-05-11 0.001154 0.002215 0.003848 0.006411 0.010177 0.015339 0.022757
2025-05-18 0.001065 0.002106 0.003741 0.006346 0.010224 0.015598 0.023388
2025-05-25 0.001001 0.002034 0.003686 0.006357 0.010379 0.016004 0.024224
2025-06-01 0.000988 0.002048 0.003767 0.006576 0.010841 0.016849 0.025679
2025-06-08 0.000944 0.002005 0.003754 0.006647 0.011086 0.017389 0.026715
2025-06-15 0.000914 0.001985 0.003776 0.006773 0.011413 0.018050 0.027929
2025-06-22 0.000888 0.001971 0.003808 0.006914 0.011765 0.018750 0.029208